- PII
- S0205-96060000616-4-1
- DOI
- 10.31857/S60000616-4-1
- Publication type
- Article
- Status
- Published
- Authors
- Volume/ Edition
- Volume 36 / Issue 2
- Pages
- 278-288
- Abstract
- Rapid progress of science and technology has characterized the period since the mid-19th century. This article provides a retrospective historical analysis of the chief factors that influenced the development of complex technological systems and the phases and duration of their life cycles. In the course of technological progress, the time lag between the first conception of a complex technological system and its full development and practical application has been constantly shrinking, from about a 100 to approximately 5 years. Lifetimes of the subsequent generations of a particular technological system, from the first model to the point when it becomes completely obsolete, have also been reduced to between 2 and 10 years, depending of the type of technology. In order to ensure the competitiveness of a product, one has to determine correctly the moment of transition from an old technological system to a new one. The methods of such technological change are discussed here through the example of automobile technology.
- Keywords
- technics, technology, technological progress, complex technological systems, technological gap, life cycle of complex technological systems
- Date of publication
- 01.04.2015
- Number of purchasers
- 1
- Views
- 1337