RAS PresidiumVoprosy istorii estestvoznaniia i tekhniki

  • ISSN (Print) 0205-9606
  • ISSN (Online)2713-041X

Social forecasting: from foresight to methodology of analysis of social and psychological consequences of the implementation of new technologies

PII
S020595920014218-5-
DOI
10.31857/S020595920014218-5
Publication type
Article
Status
Published
Authors
Volume/ Edition
Volume 42 / issue 2
Pages
115-121
Abstract

The article is a response to the publication of the article by A.L. Zhuravleva and T.A. Nestika (Psychological journal. 2019. V. 40. No. 5), dedicated to the development of principles and directions for the analysis of social and psychological consequences of the introduction of new technologies in human life. The problem of predicting social and psychological consequences is considered in the broader context of the foresight movement; the disadvantages of foresight are highlighted, requiring the organization of special methodological work to predict the social consequences of the introduction of new technologies. The problem of social forecasting, the use of a general philosophical understanding of forecasting to increase the efficiency of making forecasts for the development of society using data from psychology, social psychology, history, and other scientific disciplines is considered. The authors draw attention to the need for more intensive development of the problems of the current state of psychological science itself and forecasting its development in the future.

Keywords
foresight, new technologies, forecasting, social forecasting, science, society, psychology
Date of publication
04.04.2021
Number of purchasers
6
Views
323

References

  1. 1. Alehin A.N., Grekova A.A. Osobennosti formirovaniia myshleniia v usloviiakh tcifrovoi sredy. Clinicheskaia i spetcialnaia psihologiia. 2019. V. 8. № 1. P. 162–176. (in Russian)
  2. 2. Antcupov A.I., Kandybovich S.L. Problemy prognoza razvitiia psihologii i puti ikh resheniia. Psikhologicheskii zhurnal. 2017. V. 38. № 4. P. 109–114. (in Russian)
  3. 3. Gokhberg L.M. Budushchee kak strategicheskaia zadacha. Forsait. 2007. V. 1. № 1. P. 4–5. (in Russian)
  4. 4. Grachev A.A. Perspektivy praktiko-orientirovannoi psihologii v kontekste tendentcii razvitiia psihologicheskoi nauki. Psikhologicheskii zhurnal. 2018. V. 39. № 4. P. 133–137. (in Russian)
  5. 5. Zhdanova T.V., Nosova T.V. Prognozirovanie. v kn.: Entciclopediia epistemologii i filosofii nauki. Moscow: Kanon+, ROOI “Reabilitatciia”, 2009. P. 754–756. (in Russian)
  6. 6. Zhuravlev A.L., Mironenko I.A., Iurevich A.V. Rossiiskaia psihologiia v prostranstve globalnoi nauki: otvet diskutantam. Psikhologicheskii zhurnal. 2020. V. 41. № 3. P. 113–121. (in Russian)
  7. 7. Zhuravlev A.L., Nestik T.A. Psihologicheskie faktory negativnogo otnosheniia k novym tekhnologiiam. Psikhologicheskii zhurnal. 2016. V. 37. № 6. P. 5–14. (in Russian)
  8. 8. Zhuravlev A.L., Nestik T.A. Sotcialno-psihologicheskie posledstviia vnedreniia novykh tekhnologii: perspektivnye napravleniia issledovanii. Psikhologicheskii zhurnal. 2019. V. 40. № 5. P. 35–47. (in Russian)
  9. 9. Zhuravlev A.L. Nestik T.A., Iurevich A.V. Prognoz razvitiia psihologicheskoi nauki i praktiki k 2030 g.. Psikhologicheskii zhurnal. 2016. V. 37. № 5. P. 45–64. (in Russian)
  10. 10. Karr N. Pustyshka. Chto internet delaet s nashimi mozgami. St. Petersburg: Best Biznes Buks, 2012. (in Russian)
  11. 11. Koltcova V.A. Istoriia psihologii: Problemy metodologii. Moscow: Izd‑vo “Institut psihologii RAN”, 2008. (in Russian)
  12. 12. Mazilov V.A. Predmet psihologii. Iaroslavl: RIO YSPU, 2020. (in Russian)
  13. 13. Perfilova T.B. Istoriia Drevnego Vostoka: uchebnik dlia vuzov. 2-e izd., pererab. i dop. Moscow: Izdatelstvo Iurait, 2020. (in Russian)
  14. 14. Sokolov A.V. Forsait: vzgliad v budushchee. Forsait. 2007. V. 1. № 1. P. 8–15. (in Russian)
  15. 15. Soldatova G.U., Rasskazova E.I., Nestik T.A. Tcifrovoe pokolenie Rossii: kompetentnost i bezopasnost. Moscow: Smysl, 2017. (in Russian)
  16. 16. Shadrikov V.D. Sposobnosti i odarennost cheloveka. Moscow: Izd-vo “Institut psihologii RAN”, 2019. (in Russian)
  17. 17. Shadrikov V.D., Mazilov V.A. Obshchaia psihologiia : uchebnik dlia akademicheskogo bakalavriata. Moscow: Iurait, 2015. (in Russian)
QR
Translate

Индексирование

Scopus

Scopus

Scopus

Crossref

Scopus

Higher Attestation Commission

At the Ministry of Education and Science of the Russian Federation

Scopus

Scientific Electronic Library